Year ending analysis

Since the season starts tomorrow I figured it was a good time to recap last year. The totals from last year will give us an idea of what we need to shoot for and what is average and what is exceptional. The only annoying thing is that even though we have verifiable data from a complete year... it isn't comparable because someone decided to arbitrarily modify the points >:o With that in mind I might also try to look at how the ammended points would have affected the totals from last year. But first the totals as they stood with last years points.

			Points		Bats	Slot	Arms	Start
1.		Mudville Nine	22659		11552	7.92	11107	28.57
2.		Wizzard of Oz	22495		11298	7.75	11215	28.85
3.		EVIL EMPIR	22232		11441	7.85	10791	27.75
4.		The Congrega	21885		10868	7.45	11017	28.34
5.		Sonic Death	21565		11333	7.77	10232	26.32
6.		Bru Cru	21544		11135	7.64	10409	26.77
7.		Little Leaguer	20761		10862	7.45	10018	25.77
8.		Florida Pirate	20628		10813	7.42	9815	25.24
9.		Banana Slugs	20481		9691	6.65	10760	27.67
10.		Mac & Zack A	19714		10075	6.91	9039	23.25
11.		Columbus Ma	19255		9431	6.49	9824	25.27
12.		Rosies Angels	18219		9550	6.55	8689	22.35

The top offense (Mud) recorded a 7.92. That is awfully close to a full 8. So we have the benchmark for a great offensive season. The average score was 7.32. We only had four score below the average but the made up for with really tepid scores.

Ozzie recorded the top pitching mark with a 28.85. That is pretty good. The average per start score was a 26.34. That is pretty much in the middle so Rosie didn't bring it down too much ;)

What will the scoring changes do to this year's numbers? Besides render them useless? Well... Mud averaged 86.5 K's per batter. His present roster was pretty healthy so we just took the numbers as they were last year. Now we compare that to Ozzie who finished second. 76.5 if you include Barton since on average he had more AB per batter than Mud. This isn't scientific but you COULD take the time to ratio it out to AB's and come up with a much more accurate number. So there is a difference of 10 points per batter between Mud and Ozzie. That comes to a point total of 90 (10 x game slots). It doesn't change the outcome of last year but I would consider it a significant change. It would put Ozzie within 80 of Mud. If I am bored I might try to get the more accurate number just to see if it would have changed things. Of course we will have to figure in the pitching changes too.

The reason the points change bugs me is we all built our teams on the system in place. To arbitrarily change the numbers makes some players value fall off the table (Youkilis for me) while players we may have traded away now become more valuable. /rant

I totally agree that these numbers are more accurate to value in a game. And in the long run will make a better system. So I'm not upset. Just kinda bummed at it I guess.

If we figure in the Ks for a projection for this year... Mud's average would be circa 7.39. That is the new standard.

I'm not going to mess with prediction (I will leave those up to Gary). I really enjoy this league and am looking forward to a great time this year!!

Good luck everyone!