Pitching Projections!

This is really harder for me to do on a per pitcher basis. I have turned my roster over so much. When evaluating a pitcher I usually just look at points generated per inning pitched. That can be deceptive because a starter that pitches farther into the game will produce more points than one who doesn't. Of course if it is a starter you could go by appearances. But to sum up I didn't project all my pitchers out. I stopped after Webb (my best one) only produced an 1109. bleh!

But we can analyze the overall effect. Again, applying 1100 as a good year and 1200 as a really good year, we can see where we stand. 1100x12=13,200. To figure out the total starts for a year we will just divide 162 by 5 which gives us 32.4. While some pitchers will pitch every four games considering days off, that number (32.4) is usually close to the norm. So 13,200/32.4=407.4. We then must divide that number by 12 since we have 12 pitchers. That number is 33.95. We are WAY off that number.

So where are we at? Banana, the best so far, (25.75) projects to 10,011. 3,200 off the pace of a 'good' season. My number is 9996 (15 points behind banana, not bad). The leader, Mud, projects at 9751. 260 off the pace Banana is setting.

What does this all mean? Well for starters, either pitching is underperforming this year or pitching is not equal to hitting. This can be seen in the totals in the Friday post. Pitching is pretty equal to hitting in their total numbers but you have 3 more pitchers working for your number so the averages are going to be well below the bat's averages.

What are the averages? Banana-834.25 Me-833 and Mud-812. That is a significant dropoff. Around 300 points per player. Very interesting.